MLB 10/9/17

ALDS Game 4:

HOU -120 (2u) W / under 10.0 -105 (3u) W

NYY -1 -110 (2u) W / under 7.5 -110 (1u) L

NLDS Game 3:

CHC +100 (3u) W / under 7.5 -115 (2u) W

ARI +100 (1u) L / over 9.0 -120 (2u) L

MLB 10/6/17

ALDS Game 2:

HOU -1 -130 (2u) W / over 8.0 -115 (2u) W

NYY +1.5 -115 (3u) W / under 7.0 -105 (1u) L

NLDS Game 1:

CHC +1 -115 (2u) W / over 7.5 -125 (3u) L

LAD -1.5 -115 (1u) W / over 7.0 -135 (1u) W

MLB 10/4/17

NL Wild Card

COL +1 -105 (3u) L / under 8.5 -115 (2u) L

Taking the +1 line with the dog for this division rivalry game where the two teams share a spring training facility and are very familiar with each other. Gray heads into the postseason with 13 straight starts of allowing 3 runs or less and lowering his FIP to 3.18, which is even more impressive when half of his starts were in high altitude at Coors Field and managed to put up those numbers with one of the highest BABIP in the league at .338.

Greinke has continued to pitch like the ace he is, but if last night's AL Wild Card game is any indication, both teams could turn to their bullpen earlier in the game in an elimination situation which lessens the impact of both starters and turns the game over to some unimpressive bullpens. With both teams featuring some dangerous bats that could change the game with one swing, there's value in grabbing the run with the Rockies tonight in a potentially low scoring game. 

MLB 10/3/17

AL Wild Card

NYY -1.5 -120 (3u) W / under 7.5 -110 (2u) L

The playoffs are finally here and the Twins travel to New York to face the Yankees in an elimination game for the chance to meet the Indians in the Divisional round. 23-year-old Severino makes his postseason debut for the Yankees, who has had a stellar season as their ace with an elite 10.71 K/9 and 22.9% K-BB%. He faces a 12 year veteran in Santana, who has quietly put together a 16-8 season to go along with a 3.28 ERA. 

Although Severino and Santana's ERA may be similar (2.98 vs 3.28), their xFIP tells a different tale (3.04 vs 4.77) which can be attributed to their BABIP (.272 vs .245). Severino may lack the postseason experience, but has a ton of talent and owns the 4th highest WAR for a starting pitcher at 5.7, almost double of Santana's 2.9. The Yankees feature a much deeper and more talented lineup, especially with Sano out, and have a definite advantage in their bullpen with Chapman/Betances/Robertson to shorten the game. The Bronx Bombers should be able to take care of business at home behind their young ace in a low scoring game to move on to the Divisional round.