Portland +5 (3u) L
As I predicted in my futures picks, the Warriors continue to be overvalued by the public, failing to cover the spread in all 3 of their games so far. That trend could very well continue tonight in Portland, where the Blazers handed the Warriors their biggest loss of the season last year by a significant margin. This is a potent backcourt with Dame averaging a whopping 33.9 points per game against the Warriors in 9 games last season. Steph is usually hidden on defense a little by having Klay as an elite perimeter defender but McCollum has been solid and Dame has been getting it done in the paint as well. Dame has 16 points per game in the paint this season, surprisingly good for 3rd in the NBA, and this spells trouble for a Warriors squad missing Bogut and Ezeli to defend the rim. Zaza doesn't have nearly as much mobility of either of those big men when Portland runs the weak side fade screens and Dame should go off tonight at the Moda Center.
Utah +10 (3u) W
The Jazz haven't had a great start to the season and head to San Antonio to face a hot Spurs team on the road. Gobert just signed a big extension today and should be motivated to prove his worth against a tough matchup in Aldridge, where Rudy has been able to hold him to 26 for 62 (42%) shooting. Diaw is out due to a leg injury but Favors looks like he's good to start after his knee injury, and his minutes limitation should be lifted or increased. Kawhi is having a monster start to the season but having Favors back should definitely help slow him down and protect the paint. There's value in grabbing double digit points in what should be a low scoring game between 2 of the 4 slowest paced teams in the league last season.